Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 12.167954 13.670770 15.300229 17.200424 19.358254 21.735646 24.557754
2025-03-23 9.990875 11.996191 14.330764 17.257940 20.842031 25.102651 30.573949
2025-03-30 8.204046 10.441945 13.215824 16.925934 21.787360 27.980117 36.529550
2025-04-06 6.721645 9.014322 12.021215 16.286512 22.234487 30.312947 42.248818
2025-04-13 5.642025 7.935840 11.103896 15.848650 22.860498 32.975432 48.915379
2025-04-20 4.991865 7.343409 10.753809 16.132793 24.537436 37.390199 58.963194
2025-04-27 4.483972 6.876965 10.509311 16.524030 26.431548 42.451211 71.026255
2025-05-04 4.007046 6.384941 10.149016 16.669553 27.953210 47.180816 83.518405
2025-05-11 3.511370 5.791158 9.539449 16.304915 28.553609 50.461224 94.152156
2025-05-18 3.108491 5.293940 9.016857 16.001327 29.199274 53.919661 105.836082
2025-05-25 2.775294 4.870590 8.560739 15.740999 29.871465 57.531897 118.588810
2025-06-01 2.507903 4.528297 8.200816 15.600174 30.741185 61.670104 133.333505
2025-06-08 2.270730 4.217736 7.870273 15.491202 31.711640 66.310007 150.550695
2025-06-15 2.131014 4.073460 7.836255 15.973031 34.006829 74.233833 177.377581
2025-06-22 1.956305 3.838489 7.592927 15.982501 35.284367 80.166874 200.952932
2025-06-29 1.765663 3.547691 7.198520 15.605511 35.624132 83.998753 220.190254
2025-07-06 1.609329 3.308364 6.880024 15.347943 36.198609 88.518375 242.518556
2025-07-13 1.523645 3.208221 6.846714 15.742723 38.440221 97.730299 280.793493
2025-07-20 1.451097 3.127580 6.845548 16.214289 40.969816 108.262734 326.187641
2025-07-27 1.366433 3.009535 6.744128 16.423769 42.855502 117.456325 370.254772
2025-08-03 1.256566 2.820976 6.454921 16.112676 43.270136 122.548173 402.428715
2025-08-10 1.160660 2.654274 6.197681 15.847107 43.770043 128.024499 437.747297
2025-08-17 1.076006 2.505052 5.965230 15.613969 44.327223 133.823913 476.210725